17:34, 18.05.2009 — Новости
автор: OilWorld.Ru

DJ Crude Palm Oil May Soon Top MYR3,000/Ton- Analyst Mistry


KUALA LUMPUR (Dow Jones)--Crude palm oil prices may very soon rise above
MYR3,000 a metric ton on lower stocks and bullishness in soybean oil,
London-based vegetable oils analyst Dorab Mistry said Monday.

The August contract on Malaysia's derivatives exchange ended Friday MYR43
lower at MYR2,612 a metric ton, close to an intraday low of MYR2,605/ton.

"A strong increase in consumption and production problems have created a bull
market, which has yet to realize its full potential," Mistry said addressing a
vegetable oils conference organized by the Malaysian Palm Oil Council in Tokyo.

He said if the El Nino weather phenomenon develops, it will adversely affect
palm oil production in 2010 and result in a very bullish momentum for prices.

"If El Nino develops, prices are likely to again reach levels reached in
early 2008," Mistry cautioned.

In the first week of March 2008, CPO futures prices rose to almost
MYR4,500/ton.

Mistry said Malaysia's palm oil stocks are likely to stay below MYR1.4
million tons until mid-August. According to government estimates, Malaysia's
end-month stocks are estimated at a 22-month low of 1.29 million tons in April.

For the palm oil processing industry, the stock level of 1.4 million tons
represents around 25 days of consumption and is very tight, Mistry noted.

He said the low production cycle for palm oil, which started in November last
year, may continue at least until August but thereafter output is likely to
rise on month.

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