01:10, 27.06.2009 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review: Mixed; Bull Spreads Dominate Action (ENG)


By Andrew Johnson Jr.
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended mixed
Friday, with old crop futures trending higher while new crop contracts
retreated on spreads.

CBOT July soybeans settled 5 cents higher at $12.01 and November soybeans
finished 11 cents lower at $9.91. In pit trades, speculative fund selling was
estimated at 4,000 lots in soybeans, and 2,000 lots in soyoil.

July soy meal settled $7.70 higher at $405.00 per short ton. July soyoil
finished 46 points lower at 36.08 cents per pound.

"The soybean market was dominated by bull spreads in both soybeans and
soymeal, as tight availability of old crop physical supplies served as the
catalyst to propel bull spreads to new highs," said Greg Wagner, analyst with
AgResource Co. in Chicago.

The July/November soybean bull spread differential settled at $2.10 inverse,
widening from Thursday's close of $1.94.

New crop contracts were confronted with a two-fronted attack on prices,
Wagner said. Good weather conditions for late plantings and crop development
and larger seeding outlooks for Tuesday's acreage report weighed on the back
end of the market, he added.

Bull spreading was the featured attraction in an otherwise quiet news front,
with the nearby July future gravitating toward the $12.00 options strike price
as options on July futures expired Friday.

The mixed tone is expected to remain the characteristic of the soybean market
heading into Tuesday's key acreage and quarterly stocks reports, as old and new
crop fundamentals diverge. Nearby futures will continue to draw support from
tightening supplies in the face of solid underlying demand, Wagner said.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture is expected to show a moderate increase in
soybean acreage from its March prospective plantings report with soybean stocks
as of June 1 reflecting solid third-quarter usage in its reports scheduled for
release Tuesday 8:30 a.m. EDT (1230 GMT).

Analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires estimate soybean acreage at 78.305
million acres, up 2.281 million acres from the March projection of 76.024
million. The estimates from the 18 analysts surveyed ranged between 75.300 and
79.631 million acres. USDA is expected to report soybean stocks at 586 million
bushels in its quarterly Grain Stocks report.

The DTN Meteorlogix weather forecast calls for generally favorable Midwest
weather conditions for developing soybeans to continue during the next seven to
10 days. Some disruptions to the remaining soybean planting including double
cropped soybean planting after the wheat harvest could continue, although not
to the degree seen earlier in the season, Meteorlogix said.

Soy Products


Soybean futures finished mixed, with bull spreading featured. Meal bull
spreads rallied to new highs, with old crop contracts supported by concerns
about the availability of high protein meal, with strong underlying export
demand underpinning factors, analysts said.

Soyoil futures stumbled, succumbing to meal/oil spreading. Soyoil was the
weak link in the soy complex, with weakness from crude oil future's slide
adding pressure to pin prices in negative territory, Wagner said.

July oil share slipped to 30.78%, while the July soybean crush ended at 87
cents.


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