By Gary Wulf of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES CENTRAL CITY, Neb. (Dow Jones)--US cash grain prices stood at 4-7 month highs Monday, despite a softer undertone in most domestic basis markets. Cash premiums were lower for all classes of grain - save for soft red winter wheat - led by daily-average declines of 2 1/2 cents per bushel in interior spring wheat basis. "There was significant action from the country, as it appears that the [futures] rally has pushed flat prices high enough to trigger wheat from the farmer bins, onto the market," said Country Hedging Friday. Averaging $7.01 per bushel, US HRS wheat prices are now higher than they have been at any point since September 26, which coincidentally, is also the last time elevator bids for spot soybeans have been as high as they were at last week's close of $10.55. Interior corn and grain sorghum basis also averaged as much as 1 cent lower. "We saw a very large amount of farmer selling [of cash corn] take place," Friday, said eHedger analyst Justin Kelly. Already-elevated soybean futures gained additional altitude overnight, leaving July CBOT contracts more than 22 cents higher by the close of the Globex trading session. "The [US soybean] trade is worried about 'pipeline-level' ending stocks, diminishing South American production figures, and dwindling world ending stocks," said analyst Mark Gold. Cash-contracts in all other grain futures were lower overnight - by about 2 cents for oats/HRW wheat, and 4-5 cents for corn/SRW wheat/HRS wheat. "[Wheat] supplies likely aren't getting much bigger, but there are no indications they're getting any smaller," said Farm Progress market analyst Bryce Knorr. "Spring wheat flooding and lower production around the world could eventually produce good post-harvest rallies. But rally potential is limited into harvest, without help from other markets, unless crop conditions take a dramatic turn for the worse." National cash price indices maintained by the Minneapolis Grain Exchange stand at $10.55 1/2 for soybeans, representing an average basis of -35 1/2 cents relative to Friday's settlement of July CBOT futures. Domestic cash prices also average $3.84 1/2 for corn (-29 1/2 cents basis July CBOT corn), $5.56 1/4 for hard red winter wheat (-58 1/2 cents basis KCBT July wheat), $4.46 for soft red winter wheat (-$1.24 basis CBOT July wheat) and $7.01 for hard red spring wheat (+16 1/4 cents basis MGEX July wheat). Crop Weather Rain was scattered across much of the US grain belt Monday, with the heaviest downpours centered on the Southeast. "While particularly heavy rainfall is not in the forecast for the Corn Belt over the next week to ten days, enough rain will fall in the wettest parts of the Corn Belt to keep alive worries about how slow corn planting will be," said Freese-Notis Weather. "By all accounts, it is southeastern parts of the Corn Belt that area the wettest right now." Three storm systems are expected to cross through various portions of the Midwest during the next week, with the first wave of showers and thunderstorms returning to Iowa as early as Tuesday.
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
33000.00 | + 100 | 34000.00 | + 800 |
ПФО |
32500.00 | + 500 | 33000.00 | + 500 |
СКФО |
37000.00 | + 4000 | 38000.00 | + 4500 |
ЮФО |
36000.00 | + 3000 | 37000.00 | + 3500 |
СФО |
35000.00 | + 2000 | 37000.00 | + 3000 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
76000.00 | + 2000 | 85000.00 | + 10500 |
ЮФО |
76000.00 | + 3000 | 77500.00 | + 2500 |
ПФО |
76000.00 | + 2500 | 77500.00 | + 2500 |
СФО |
77000.00 | + 3000 | 78000.00 | + 2000 |
Обсуждение