BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--Argentina's 2007-08 soybean production will total
just 40 million to 42 million metric tons, a 9% to 12% drop on the year,
according to the Argentine Association of Agricultural Research Consortiums, or
CREA.
The CREA report adds to the chorus of private forecasts predicting a sharp
drop in production due to a brutal drought early this year and late in 2008.
The drought also cut corn, wheat and sunflower seed production in half from
last season, according to CREA.
In addition to the drought, the drop is due to "decreased planted area due to
high costs, decreased use of technology, uncertainty due to export
restrictions, manipulation of markets and other intervention by the
government," CREA said in a statement posted on its website.
Estimates for Argentina's 2008-09 crop production in millions of hectares
(HA) or millions of metric tons (MT).
Wheat Soy Corn Sunseed
CREA -- 40-42MT -- --
B.A. Cereals Exch 8.7MT 42.5MT 13.8MT 2.9MT
Agriculture Sec't 8.3MT 17HA 12.5-13.8MT 2.4MT
USDA 8.4MT 43MT 13.5MT 3MT
Rosario Exch -- 41.7MT 14MT --
Ricardo Baccarin* -- 42MT -- --
Adrian Seltzer* -- 41-43.5MT -- --
Pablo Adreani* -- 37MT -- --
*Ricarco Baccarin is vice president of Panagricola S.A., Adrian Seltzer is
an analyst at Granar S.A. and Pablo Adreani is an analyst at AgriPac
Consultores.
Argentina's historical production estimates in millions of metric tons,
according to the Agriculture Secretariat:
Wheat Soy Corn Sunseed
2007-08 16 46.2 20.5 4.65
2006-07 14.6 47.5 21.8 3.5
2005-06 12.6 40.5 14.5 3.8
2004-05 16 38.3 20.5 3.7
2003-04 14.6 31.6 15 3.1
2002-03 12.3 35 14.7 3.4
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29800.00 | + 650 | 30000.00 | + 840 |
ПФО |
28940.00 | + 990 | 29000.00 | + 950 |
СКФО |
29450.00 | + 750 | 30000.00 | + 1050 |
ЮФО |
29250.00 | + 1100 | 29700.00 | + 750 |
СФО |
29300.00 | + 900 | 29500.00 | + 1200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
72000.00 | + 1000 | 73300.00 | + 50 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 0 | 74000.00 | + 0 |
ПФО |
71500.00 | + 500 | 73100.00 | + 100 |
СФО |
72500.00 | + 500 | 74900.00 | - 100 |
Обсуждение