(This article was originally published Thursday) KUALA LUMPUR (Dow Jones)--Global vegetable oil traders, analysts and government officials forecast prices in a wide range during a three-day conference organized by the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives that ended Thursday. Following are outlooks given by some of the key forecasters: -Dorab Mistry, director, Godrej International: The benchmark BMD third-month CPO futures may test MYR2,100 a metric ton in next few weeks but fall to MYR1,500 during the second half of 2009; RBD palm olein may fall to $500/ton free-on-board, Malaysia; crude soyoil to $500/ton, FOB Argentina ports post-April and soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade to $7 a bushel. -Thomas Mielke, director, ISTA Mielke GmbH: Crude palm oil prices may rise by $70-$100 and average around $640/ton, cost-insurance-and-freight Rotterdam during the first half compared with the current price of around $590. Crude oil prices may trend toward $55-$60 a barrel the by end of the year. RBD palm olein may rise to an average price of around $670/ton, FOB Malaysia, up from around $610-$620. Palm kernel oil prices may rise to $660/ton, CIF Rotterdam, from $585, with the discount to coconut oil narrowing. -James Fry, managing director, LMC International: BMD CPO futures may fall to MYR1,400-MYR1,500/ton this year if there is a fall in crude prices. CPO in the European Union may fall below $500/ton. -Richard Kastilani, Director, Tropical Oils Products Ltd.: BMD CPO futures may trade in a range of MYR1,550-MYR2,200/ton for the next four months. Good global harvest of oilseeds such as sunflower and rapeseed and crude oil around $35-$45/barrel may pull CPO prices below $400/ton from $550. -M.R. Chandran, senior group advisor, Platinum Energy: CPO prices may rise to MYR2,200 by June 2009. -Anne Frick, vice president, Futures Research, Prudential Bache Commodities: CPO prices may move between MYR1,700 and MYR2,300 for the rest of 2009. CBOT soyoil prices unlikely to fall below 26 cents/pound. -Sandeep Bajoria, chief executive, Sunvin Group: CPO prices may move between MYR1,850 and MYR2,250/ton until June 2009. -Peter Chin, Malaysia's Minister for Plantation Industries and Commodities (during an interview with Dow Jones Newswires March 5): CPO prices likely to move between MYR1,800-MYR2,000/ton for the next few months. The benchmark third-month May CPO futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives ended MYR60 lower Thursday at MYR1,920 off a high of MYR2,026 reached during the course of the conference - but close to levels at which the contract was before it began. Crude soyoil is now being offered around $615/ton, FOB Argentina. CBOT March soybeans ended 14 cents lower Wednesday at $8.75/bushel.
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29150.00 | + 700 | 29160.00 | + 660 |
ПФО |
27950.00 | + 300 | 28050.00 | + 50 |
СКФО |
28700.00 | + 500 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
ЮФО |
28150.00 | - 200 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
СФО |
28400.00 | - 100 | 28300.00 | - 200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
71000.00 | + 850 | 73250.00 | + 1380 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 200 | 74000.00 | + 3500 |
ПФО |
71000.00 | + 1450 | 73000.00 | + 2950 |
СФО |
72000.00 | + 1800 | 75000.00 | + 4500 |
Обсуждение