July CBOT soybeans closed lower Thursday amid signs of weakening demand for U.S. oilseeds supplies. The market closed higher on the weekly chart.
Thursday's action saw the market punch to a new contract high at $15.21 intraday, before reversing to a lower close. The intraday rally hit a technical target at $15.20 1/4, the July 26, 2013, weekly continuation chart high. The trend pattern is bullish, but the reversal to a weaker close on Thursday is a red-flag warning signal. Also, daily momentum studies, including slow stochastics and the relative strength index are both at overbought levels. The momentum readings are a warning the market is vulnerable to correction at any time.
Nonetheless, the trend outlook remains positive. On the downside, old resistance at the April 9 high at $14.90 has become support. It would take declines under that zone to open the door to downside correction.
$15.21 -- the contract high $14.71 3/4 -- the 10-day moving average $14.45 1/4 -- the 20-day moving average $14.15 -- the 40-day moving average $10.54 -- the contract low JULY SOYBEAN MEAL -- combined pit and electronic trading
July CBOT soymeal also rallied to a new contract high but then retraced to a lower close at the final bell Thursday. The overall trend pattern remains bullish, but Thursday's lower close is a weak signal. Nonetheless, the new contract high offers resistance at $485, and gains through there would target additional strength to $490.00 and then $496.20, seen on the weekly continuation chart. The market closed just under minor support from the April 9 high at $478.70. Sustained declines under that area early in the week would suggest the market is vulnerable to some downside testing with major support at $461.80, the April 14 low. From a trend perspective, as long as $461.80 holds firm, the rising trend pattern is intact.
$485.00 -- the contract high $470.40 -- the 10-day moving average $463.40 -- the 20-day moving average $450.50 -- the 40-day moving average $293.30 -- the contract low July SOYBEAN OIL -- combined pit and electronic trading
July CBOT soybean oil closed slightly lower Thursday, but the contract posted a narrow "inside day" session. Strong gains were seen on the weekly chart. On the daily chart, the near-term trend pattern is positive. Gains through initial resistance at 43.95 cents would open the door for a bullish run back toward major resistance at 45.10 cents, the March 7 swing high. On the downside, the important levels to watch remain the same. Recent swing-low support is seen at 42.01 cents, the April 11 low. As long as that holds, the near-term focus will remain to the upside.
57.43 -- the contract high 42.69 -- the 10-day moving average 41.88 -- the 20-day moving average 42.25 -- the 40-day moving average 37.14 -- the contract low
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29150.00 | + 700 | 29160.00 | + 660 |
ПФО |
27950.00 | + 300 | 28050.00 | + 50 |
СКФО |
28700.00 | + 500 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
ЮФО |
28150.00 | - 200 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
СФО |
28400.00 | - 100 | 28300.00 | - 200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
71000.00 | + 850 | 73250.00 | + 1380 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 200 | 74000.00 | + 3500 |
ПФО |
71000.00 | + 1450 | 73000.00 | + 2950 |
СФО |
72000.00 | + 1800 | 75000.00 | + 4500 |
Обсуждение