SINGAPORE (Dow Jones)--Grain prices on the bellwether Chicago Board of Trade were little changed in thin volumes in Asia Friday, following a similar rangebound session in the U.S. overnight. Traders said the market is likely to continue to focus on weather developments in coming sessions, with generally favorable crop weather in key corn and wheat growing areas of the U.S. fueling expectations of good yields, while rice traders continue to monitor India's weak monsoon situation. However, despite expectations of a reduction in India's rice crop this year as a result of poor monsoon rains, the international market has yet to react, traders said. In China, recent rains in the northern parts eased the impact of a prolonged drought in major soybean and corn producing areas, according to the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters. Drought-hit crop areas were 10.07 million hectares as of Thursday, 600,000 hectares more than last year's average, the office said. In India too, a late revival in monsoon rainfall has fueled hopes it will help limit damage to the country's summer crops and prevent further increases in food prices, but it may be too little and too late to lower prices substantially, industry participants said. "If rainfall continues like this, there is a possibility that yields would be a little higher, but we can't increase the area (under paddy cultivation) at this point of time," said Sonal Varma, an economist with Nomura Securities. India's biggest rice producing state, West Bengal, expects its summer-sown rice output to fall 10%-12% in the 2009-10 fiscal due to insufficient rains, the state agriculture minister said Thursday. The state reaped 14.8 million metric tons of rice in 2008-09, of which 10.6 million tons came from the summer-sown crop. India's rainfall in the June 1-Aug. 17 period was 27% below the 50-year average, hurting crop prospects in 246 of the country's 625 administrative districts. CBOT rice futures eased in very thin volume Friday. At 0548 GMT, e-CBOT's November contract, the only month traded so far, was down 8.00 U.S. cents at $13.36 following a marginal rise in U.S. trading overnight. CBOT rice is expected to continue finding technical pressure, that has so far pulled the September benchmark contract 57.50 cents lower so far this month, traders said. Wheat futures were also marginally lower Friday, with e-CBOT's September contract down 0.40 cent at $4.68/bushel as of 0555 GMT, following a similar lackluster U.S. session. In India, however, the outlook for wheat prices continues to lean towards the bullish side due to drought-related crop concerns and an apparent delay in the government's plans to release wheat stocks, traders said. "Despite the (government's) decision to release 3 million tons of wheat, the stocks are yet to reach the local market," said Sushil Global Commodities Analyst Ashish Tapadia. In Japan, the Ministry of Agriculture is considering lowering the prices of imported wheat for the second time this year, the Nikkei reported in its Friday edition. The government imports 90% of the wheat Japan consumes, selling the grain to flour millers. Prices are revised in April and October to reflect international market rates. Global wheat prices surged from 2007 to 2008 due to higher demand in emerging nations, droughts that hit exporting countries and the inflow of speculative funds. As a result, the government raised prices twice in both years. In other news, Japan's Ministry of Agriculture said it purchased 126,000 tons of U.S. and Australian wheat for October delivery in a tender concluded Thursday. Meanwhile, South Korea's Dongah Flour Mills purchased 25,000 tons of U.S. wheat from Cargill Thursday, said a trader with the company, declining to give price details.
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29150.00 | + 700 | 29160.00 | + 660 |
ПФО |
27950.00 | + 300 | 28050.00 | + 50 |
СКФО |
28700.00 | + 500 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
ЮФО |
28150.00 | - 200 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
СФО |
28400.00 | - 100 | 28300.00 | - 200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
71000.00 | + 850 | 73250.00 | + 1380 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 200 | 74000.00 | + 3500 |
ПФО |
71000.00 | + 1450 | 73000.00 | + 2950 |
СФО |
72000.00 | + 1800 | 75000.00 | + 4500 |
Обсуждение